I very rarely get involved in politics, but I’ll make an exception for this case as I found the numbers fascinating and haven’t seen them reported elsewhere. Feel free to skip over it if politics isn’t your thing. If politics is your thing, hop on over to the Politics board on DDF!
Yesterday, Ohio’s heavily gerrymandered 11th district voted in a special primary election to nominate a replacement in the House of Representatives for HUD secretary Marcia Fudge.
The 11th district is Ohio’s deepest blue district, so the Democratic nominee is all but guaranteed to go onto victory in November.
Nina Turner, who was the national co-chair for Bernie Sanders’ 2020 campaign, was heavily favored to win the district, with polls just 2 months ago showing her up by some 35%. She won the endorsement of Cleveland Mayor Frank Jackson and the Cleveland Plain Dealer.
The city of Beachwood, my hometown and location of DansDeals Headquarters, has one of the greatest number of Jews per capita in the world, outside of Israel.
Residents got the word out with in-person fundraisers with the candidate and signs everywhere to coalesce and vote for Shontel Brown, who was proving Nina Turner’s strongest competition among the field of 13 Democratic candidates. While Ms. Turner was calling for sanctions against Israel, Ms. Brown condemned the Hamas attacks and spoke out against BDS.
Ohio has open primaries, so you can decide at the polls if you want to vote for the Democratic or Republican primary.
And despite the polls heavily favoring Ms. Turner, the large turnout among the most heavily populated Jewish cities located to the east of Cleveland turned the tide of the race.
Turnout for the special primary election in many parts of the city of Cleveland was less than 10%, but heavily Jewish districts in Cleveland’s eastern suburbs had turnout as high as 38% of registered voters, which is a record high there for a special primary election:
While mail-in ballots have yet to be counted, Shontel Brown managed to upset Nina Turner with a margin of some 4,200 votes:
Where did the votes come from?
I did a dive into the votes from some of the heavily Jewish cities in Ohio’s 11th district:
Brown: 2,438 (81%)
Turner: 572 (19%)
Margin for Brown: 1,866
In the most heavily religious Jewish precincts, Beachwood A went to Brown with 338 votes (91.1%) over Turner with 33 votes and Beachwood B went to Brown with 358 votes (89.7%) over Turner with 41 votes. About 42% of votes in these precincts were for Trump in 2020, but only 17 people voted for the Republican primary ticket yesterday.
Margin for Brown: 571
In the most heavily religious Jewish precincts, University Heights H went to Brown with 357 votes (88.4%) over Turner with 47 votes and University Heights I went to Brown with 262 votes (88.2%) over Turner with 35 votes. About 58% of votes in these precincts were for Trump in 2020, but only 26 people voted for the Republican primary ticket yesterday.
Cleveland Heights 4B, 4D, and 4G:
Margin for Brown: 472
In these heavily Jewish populated precincts in one of Cleveland’s largest suburbs, some 76% of votes went to Ms. Brown. Unlike the other cities in this post, these numbers only include the precincts with a high Jewish population. The majority of votes in this city as a whole went to Ms. Turner.
Margin for Brown: 603
This suburb is heavily populated with non-religious Jews. Some 76.8% of the vote went to Ms. Brown.
Margin for Brown: 377
Margin for Brown: 750
Margin for Brown: 260
Sure enough, Brown’s margin of 4,899 votes from these Cleveland suburbs contributed more than her entire margin of victory.
Ms. Brown thanked her “Jewish brothers and sisters” and expressed support for the US-Israel relationship in her victory speech last night:
— Jewish Insider (@J_Insider) August 4, 2021
I’m proud to be a 6th generation Clevelander, unapologetic supporter of Israel, and this is how it’s done #CLEStrong