Several have already come true:
-The American OneWorld round-the-world award chart was killed
-USAirways started collecting fuel surcharges on British Airways and has already killed some off-peak awards.
-American and El Al are ending their codeshare and frequent flyer partnership agreement.
-And now JetBlue and El Al will begin a codesharing agreement, as predicted last November as well,
“Beware that El Al may decide to sever its relationship with American if they become a competitor and you may no longer be able to use American miles on El Al. Though if El Al would do that they would lose codeshare access to other US cities that they get from American though they can always set one up with an airline like JetBlue.”
“I still think a JetBlue partnership may occur, but that will likely be a codeshare-only relationship and not a frequent flyer relationship.”
And that has come true as well. There is now a codesharing agreement in place, so El Al can place their flight number on JetBlue flights and vice versa. That means your itinerary purchased from El Al may have you flying on El Al flight 1500 from JFK to Fort Lauderdale, but it will be on a JetBlue airplane.
Unfortunately and as expected, there was no frequent flyer announcement.
Given that JetBlue and El Al have convoluted and proprietary mileage programs it will probably be very challenging to set up reciprocity even if there is a desire for there to be one.
I think my prediction from last November of American flights from Miami and JFK to Tel Aviv will come to fruition before an El Al-JetBlue frequent flyer partnership occurs. And that’s even with the long wait for that to happen due to the TWA fiasco that left their employees in Israel without a pension.
If we’re really lucky maybe we’ll even see a United nonstop flight from Chicago (or San Francisco?) to Tel Aviv. More competition is always a good thing. I talked about those flight possibilities in 2012 with Brian Znotins, VP of United’s network strategy. He indicated that such flights could make sense after the launch of the 787-900, the first of which of just coming online now. United has 26 of those on order which will come online within the next few years. Then again he (and other United execs at the DO) also told me that the Cleveland hub was profitable, something contradicted by his boss (and still being audited by the state of Ohio), so who knows…